Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $170 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ae1eec04611d052d070d2f3cee548a742ed6c7cc020096ab9321cf2c866a841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fbd…fe0bbacked Yes | 2c | 66,450$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 18c | 12,235$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 11c | 11,272$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.8 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…d0bdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…4f02backed Yes | 14c | 7,327$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 6,178$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.67 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 13c | 5,498$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.96 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf101…b28abacked Yes | 21c | 4,501$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 4,358$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 1c | 4,272$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…eeb6backed Yes | 9c | 3,995$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 7c | 3,935$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.31 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,396$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…315abacked Yes | 1c | 3,387$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…b88ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,663$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc577…50a4backed Yes | 17c | 2,619$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,561$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…3d02backed Yes | 11c | 2,365$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Yes | 2c | 2,326$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 6c | 2,228$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…99bfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,960$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…54d1backed Yes | 16c | 1,884$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…6417backed Yes | 17c | 1,793$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…fe9abacked Yes | 12c | 1,731$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,611$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,585$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,580$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…b5ebbacked Yes | 17c | 1,522$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…ce31backed Yes | 12c | 1,504$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…59e8backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…3188backed Yes | 11c | 1,486$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 8c | 1,469$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,431$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…3524backed Yes | 15c | 1,426$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 10c | 1,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…a8e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,351$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…9dfcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,341$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 1,335$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…43bdbacked Yes | 11c | 1,320$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…f637backed Yes | 11c | 1,290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…7858backed Yes | 17c | 1,281$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…9665backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,172$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…6d3bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,141$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,053$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…58b0backed Yes | 11c | 1,048$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 17c | 1,037$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 1c | 1,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…abc4backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…81c6backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 804.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 790.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…7cf0backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a33…adf3backed Yes | 17c | 706.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked Yes | 11c | 678.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…d990backed Yes | 4c | 675.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +213%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 16c | 672.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…77c8backed Yes | 3c | 628.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 601.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Yes | 6c | 595.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…e75dbacked Yes | 12c | 575.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 14c | 552.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 4c | 496.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 4c | 431.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 14c | 404.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 401.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 366.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…d8b3backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 14c | 333$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…208abacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…789dbacked Yes | 12c | 297.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…0abdbacked Yes | 12c | 228$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0746…53babacked Yes | 19c | 220.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…b838backed Yes | 11c | 218.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 15c | 218$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 9c | 202.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…7dc7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 79c | 189.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 15c | 186.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…e3acbacked Yes | 11c | 184.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +289.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…cb8dbacked Yes | 16c | 151.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…87d7backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +358.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…2633backed Yes | 20c | 145.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b4…e8bdbacked Yes | 18c | 137.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…c1fcbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Yes | 12c | 118.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…4b8cbacked Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 14c | 113.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…15babacked Yes | 12c | 112.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…e8c6backed Yes | 18c | 108.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.