Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $190 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530d5dd0183a2ce75ae41529f7119fa11c5b6e3f2d6ab05d6412e9b73a753a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 4c | 27,303$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.61 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,293$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 10,495$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.82 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 6c | 10,013$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 6c | 8,904$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.16 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 3c | 8,138$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed Yes | 1c | 6,541$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 4,669$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…3524backed Yes | 4c | 3,811$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b53bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,150$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…7cf0backed Yes | 3c | 2,914$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…7c5dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,788$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3141backed Yes | 1c | 2,741$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…373dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,529$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0120…797abacked Yes | 4c | 1,800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,598$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…002dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,554$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ac…cfa6backed Yes | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,259$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…be65backed Yes | 4c | 1,248$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,091$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,088$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…4b8cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,076$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +700%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 3c | 929.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…6923backed Yes | 1c | 918.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…b682backed Yes | 4c | 916.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…3370backed Yes | 6c | 909.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 897.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 5c | 890.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 877.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…dd23backed Yes | 3c | 773.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 751.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 738.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 5c | 646.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…30c3backed Yes | 5c | 435.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 401.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +210%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes | 5c | 380.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…645bbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 4c | 350.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 107 | 3.7%4 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 4c | 257.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…91bdbacked Yes | 5c | 202.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…e783backed Yes | 6c | 199.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $190 in January?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in January?No won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $140 in January?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $150 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in January?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.