TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe5a0…20da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT18123.8%43 W · 138 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.07
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+185.5%+$54.48
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT6232.3%20 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$135.79
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.64
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$501.57
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.99
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.41
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$20.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+205.7%+$514.29
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$155.41
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$134.73
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$125.2
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+525%+$61.95
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+250.1%+$50.01
Canucks vs. Bruinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$97.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$33.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.77
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+163.2%+$44.05
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Solana reach $190 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$53.9
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$36.36
LoL: Sentinels vs Gen.G (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$47.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: NoLogoJustMMR vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.