NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0a2bb03a2924a261d32372ad26faa109785aff2ffa92d94f66d601d1fafae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,252,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252,671 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 770 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 55c | 268,988$149,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,143.13 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Kings | 44c | 235,131$104,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,118.04 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,500 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 56c | 137,615$76,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,709.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Islanders | 56c | 107,864$60,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,403.9 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Kings | 44c | 102,105$44,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,426.37 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 44c | 89,917$39,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,099.58 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings | 44c | 40,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,499.96 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Islanders | 55c | 30,909$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 44c | 30,241$13,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,895.98 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 43c | 29,923$12,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,056.25 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 43c | 29,278$12,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,619.01 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 57c | 24,837$14,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,147.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Islanders | 56c | 22,286$12,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Islanders | 35c | 20,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Islanders | 49c | 19,402$9,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,583.93 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 43c | 18,251$7,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,403.04 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders | 57c | 16,022$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,132.76 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 56c | 12,341$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,892.06 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Islanders | 56c | 11,429$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Islanders | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kings | 45c | 10,770$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,923.28 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…4376backed Kings | 44c | 10,210$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Islanders | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.96 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 43c | 9,645$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 56c | 9,581$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.76 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 56c | 9,572$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,360.28 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 71c | 9,007$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.41 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.75 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Islanders | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Islanders | 55c | 8,139$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.42 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 64c | 8,127$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.37 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 70c | 8,106$5,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.6 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Islanders | 42c | 7,967$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.54 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 43c | 7,865$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.87 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 76c | 7,026$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.73 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Kings | 72c | 6,721$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.66 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Kings | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 72c | 6,451$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.13 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Islanders | 52c | 6,007$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Islanders | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Islanders | 56c | 5,940$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.52 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Islanders | 57c | 5,006$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.31 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Kings | 78c | 4,566$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.43 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Islanders | 2c | 4,489$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,444$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.42 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Islanders | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Islanders | 26c | 3,715$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.65 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…12d1backed Kings | 44c | 3,620$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…f52ebacked Kings | 44c | 3,600$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…08c3backed Islanders | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…47bebacked Islanders | 56c | 3,589$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 56c | 3,583$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.48 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.76 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders | 57c | 3,510$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Islanders | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Islanders | 22c | 3,367$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.77 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Kings | 58c | 3,274$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.29 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Islanders | 9c | 3,139$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kings | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 56c | 2,987$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.04 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Islanders | 56c | 2,716$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.64 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 33c | 2,658$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291a…d9aebacked Kings | 45c | 2,560$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Kings | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 43c | 2,431$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.75 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Islanders | 25c | 2,368$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.98 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Islanders | 57c | 2,350$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Islanders | 56c | 2,233$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Islanders | 26c | 2,143$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.64 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Islanders | 35c | 2,100$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.08 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 78c | 1,944$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Islanders | 9c | 1,927$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Islanders | 22c | 1,915$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.8 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 40c | 1,768$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 36c | 1,706$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Islanders | 57c | 1,705$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.85 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…d2f0backed Islanders | 26c | 1,672$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,667$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.25 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…87b1backed Islanders | 26c | 1,582$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Islanders | 55c | 1,564$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.08 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kings | 45c | 1,513$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.06 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Islanders | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Islanders | 41c | 1,497$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Islanders | 57c | 1,485$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.34 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Islanders | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Islanders | 55c | 1,400$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Islanders | 19c | 1,369$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…4ef4backed Islanders | 56c | 1,338$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.84 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…35f5backed Kings | 45c | 1,150$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kings | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.72 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kings | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Islandersthis page
- Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.