TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Jets, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$996,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,019,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $996,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Jets46c137,000$62,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,519.9748545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jets45c118,510$53,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,572.1256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Ducks55c90,420$49,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,6898252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bd…238ebacked Ducks55c85,981$47,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,691.23933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+69.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks60c72,282$43,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,930.6338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ducks55c53,981$29,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,315.971,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Ducks36c51,346$18,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,861.45046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Jets46c50,125$23,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,057.4544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Ducks54c39,142$21,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,842.8643456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets48c37,270$17,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,737.421,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Ducks54c32,677$17,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,031.4222550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Jets64c28,085$17,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,974.614866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Jets67c24,636$16,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,428.4311745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Ducks55c22,500$12,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,12551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Ducks54c20,652$11,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,500.0248549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jets46c20,591$9,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,532.9336748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Jets46c20,000$9,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,10014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jets45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks55c16,940$9,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,703.9461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Jets46c16,000$7,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,359.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jets46c15,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.9722747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Ducks55c13,636$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,136.363855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Ducks42c12,813$5,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,401.7712835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets45c12,500$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,624.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Ducks55c12,212$6,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.4132151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Ducks54c11,473$6,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.753348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Jets64c11,200$7,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,1683764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jets45c10,774$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.332763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Jets48c7,000$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.983046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Jets49c6,706$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.0515057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets45c6,587$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ducks55c6,278$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.1761953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Jets44c6,000$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.9919353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Ducks50c5,958$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.9540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets51c5,214$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.771,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ducks55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jets45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Jets45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.991,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks54c4,785$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.221,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets52c4,708$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.0289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Ducks53c4,495$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.1566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Jets64c4,480$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.356456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks54c4,444$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.2475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets65c4,435$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.581,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets45c4,377$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.611,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks54c4,364$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.081,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Ducks41c4,167$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.678748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks54c4,021$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.6686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…13b6backed Jets46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9839752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ducks48c3,970$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.7516447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks59c3,900$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.2385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets41c3,751$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.5860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ducks29c3,743$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.771741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Jets48c3,678$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.656657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Jets64c3,617$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,314.885052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Ducks36c3,507$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.483046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Jets46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61010145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Ducks29c3,500$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.9215145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks41c3,484$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.72,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Jets45c3,250$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Ducks36c3,140$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0161450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Jets45c3,067$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jets46c3,049$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.3891653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Ducks55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2718258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Jets6c2,666$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.96425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks54c2,622$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.1291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ducks49c2,589$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.491,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets54c2,548$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.4485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jets77c2,446$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.21,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ducks33c2,431$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.8927739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets62c2,390$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.83,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks54c2,316$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jets56c2,284$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.8962951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Jets51c2,205$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.0427150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jets45c2,084$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.884953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jets45c2,082$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.9360249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88eb…9394backed Ducks43c2,039$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.051553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ducks56c1,977$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9414539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ducks39c1,945$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.5134538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Ducks54c1,876$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.937149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Ducks55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1814654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Ducks55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1824749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Jets64c1,710$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.81758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Jets4c1,700$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7280%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jets45c1,643$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.091,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Jets46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ducks56c1,474$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.282043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jets59c1,437$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.81,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Ducks38c1,396$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.822050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf4…c719backed Jets46c1,320$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…621ebacked Ducks55c1,310$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Ducks32c1,307$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.0121555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6321…81e4backed Ducks55c1,290$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087a…aa2cbacked Jets46c1,280$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks55c1,247$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…a71cbacked Ducks54c1,226$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Jets45c1,116$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50255446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.