Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: NoLogoJustMMR vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13dc8759b71c38465448f5a20b729fbd482c84f3765aea0b25d204b695b56321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NoLogoJustMMRof NoLogoJustMMR, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Lynx | 43c | 1,079$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.78 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,046$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.96 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…34e5backed Team Lynx | 76c | 1,016$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed NoLogoJustMMR | 30c | 750$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NoLogoJustMMR | 49c | 742.8$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.12 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 28c | 540.16$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed NoLogoJustMMR | 67c | 469.21$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Team Lynx | 76c | 252.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked NoLogoJustMMR | 39c | 164.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Team Lynx | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…7fabbacked NoLogoJustMMR | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Lynx | 16c | 108.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Lynx | 16c | 108.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…ad4abacked NoLogoJustMMR | 79c | 102.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Team Lynx | 65c | 76.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked NoLogoJustMMR | 53c | 73.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed NoLogoJustMMR | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…c79bbacked NoLogoJustMMR | 62c | 60.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Team Lynx | 28c | 54.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NoLogoJustMMR | 26c | 51.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Team Lynx | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Lynx | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed NoLogoJustMMR | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Lynx | 62c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Lynx | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed NoLogoJustMMR | 47c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed NoLogoJustMMR | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NoLogoJustMMR | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc47…5529backed NoLogoJustMMR | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: NoLogoJustMMR vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: NoLogoJustMMR vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerNoLogoJustMMR won
- Dota 2: NoLogoJustMMR vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs NoLogoJustMMR (+1.5)NoLogoJustMMR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.