TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$498,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd51…1041backed No53c26,547$14,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,121.961030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes79c23,145$18,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,858.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c16,775$7,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,895.282,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No37c15,619$5,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,834.2613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c15,137$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.324,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No1c14,687$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.873327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No53c14,574$7,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,769.0711445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c10,435$4,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,530.6985748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed No48c9,161$4,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,358.4660%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed No52c8,697$4,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.9713348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes51c7,679$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.631,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Yes48c7,520$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c7,103$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.096,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No31c6,951$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.741,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes74c6,004$4,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.042638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No31c5,954$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.4653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No53c5,776$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.175851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes73c4,017$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.977343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed No28c3,367$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.15536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c3…dbb5backed Yes45c3,291$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Yes76c3,193$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.73650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No52c3,151$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.4216651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes70c2,788$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.212345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No53c2,524$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.869055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9172…af2fbacked Yes48c2,481$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes47c2,471$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.824546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa101…001dbacked Yes67c2,382$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes48c2,373$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.87922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes44c2,326$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.631735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Yes46c2,106$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes46c2,103$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.887440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Yes48c2,034$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.532853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5320545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Yes50c1,853$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.121172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c1,812$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.6477342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No40c1,692$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.6634628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Yes50c1,687$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cca…c501backed Yes76c1,640$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed No45c1,633$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.73050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7805056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccf…aa10backed Yes48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No51c1,405$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.6320059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Yes72c1,300$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c1,288$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.971,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…b35abacked Yes47c1,270$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes76c1,268$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.263342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes48c1,241$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.462948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes72c1,194$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.373250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes71c1,092$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes48c1,033$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.363650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.93767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c5…b11abacked Yes47c1,025$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed No23c1,007$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.878919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes46c967.6$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.52564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes76c937.26$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaee…381ebacked Yes72c907.26$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes47c809.7$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.955438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes48c807.68$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes50c800.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.135851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Yes48c779.08$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.124835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes49c775.82$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6710144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57de…20cbbacked Yes53c733.58$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.322766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No52c707.21$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No51c689.12$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4536563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes73c676.53$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.734057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes49c650.56$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.794353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.574544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No52c635.48$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4514354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes49c633.08$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes46c631.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.761450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Yes47c624.02$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.736857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No24c604.38$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No23c599.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Yes48c572.84$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.882250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked No51c567.57$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.242272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes73c537.72$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.182240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes48c532.84$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0835428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes48c524.77$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.884959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755c…580dbacked No56c516.9$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c506.8$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.676243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Yes48c504.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.382138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes48c504.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.382055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No52c500.31$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c500.31$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes45c500.27$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes49c491.74$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes71c489.33$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.98756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed No53c476.73$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.672441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c470.62$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.791,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No54c464.16$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6519244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes69c427.19$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.747327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes47c425.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7754128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.184839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.