TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes26c27,565$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,16711445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c12,442$9,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.922,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c10,627$8,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No74c7,609$5,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.295164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c5,162$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.0756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes27c3,719$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.012853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c2,199$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.611,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9172…af2fbacked Yes22c2,166$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes6c1,612$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.697440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c1,433$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6834628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed No73c1,195$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.67366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No74c1,120$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.194546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2609753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c953.01$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.71,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes26c921.57$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.611936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes21c907.24$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.528831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c835.2$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes17c831.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.084645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c756.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6825225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c695.86$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8817062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8418123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes12c598.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8813327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c531.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4312233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes25c517.06$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2615233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No79c454.2$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.388756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.263847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c453.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.219534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036a…0001backed Yes23c435.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes27c391.12$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes27c391.12$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed Yes25c390.79$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes21c367.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2635428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes17c362.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.842231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c334$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes10c331.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.114544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c293.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes26c292.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9624052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes10c283.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.386230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes27c276.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5819426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes26c275.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.677847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes24c274.49$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8314949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c255.07$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed No74c237.31$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x896e…8902backed Yes21c222.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.331741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes26c220.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.343148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes21c208.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.757931.6%25 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No74c206.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.597954.4%43 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes19c195.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.225837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes17c195.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.266241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No80c195.15$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c193$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4657150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8111636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes26c176.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.874920.4%10 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed No75c161.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes18c149.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e5…8807backed Yes26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No78c146.36$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes21c142.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0159645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes20c110.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.116634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.672850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.692356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes19c98.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.038055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes21c90.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.053554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.057525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes26c88.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.139650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c86.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.136627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes26c83.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.773522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb36b…0cb1backed Yes17c82.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No78c80.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8628456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ee…092dbacked Yes20c74.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1111858.5%69 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0117…1a04backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes19c71.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6641956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.285022%11 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.129757.7%56 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Yes16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.213531.1%42 W · 93 L-12.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes22c65.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes19c60.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.698052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes26c57.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.911225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No78c51.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4124557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes26c46.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1918961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No76c40.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8127948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes27c38.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.528336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f25…4caabacked No78c37.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No79c36.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6740821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No74c33.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked No74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.923281.3%26 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+33.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5715046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8736…dfaebacked No75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked No80c24.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.943663.9%23 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked No75c23.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No79c19.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.112963.6%82 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No74c18.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.853369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.