TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5e8…6eda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.78
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$61.26
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$28.1
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$203.98
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)backed Racing Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.95
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.53
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.54
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.07
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$34.49
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.05
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$26.13
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$28.73
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Madrid Open: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$23.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.