South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f398c7747e13c7cb793dbfd81d0a15d94f8d41a962c9b79ac0148ae6a342999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 55c | 46,896$25,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,792.59 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 11,612$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,131.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 6,766$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 5,703$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.79 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 3,868$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.4 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 2,831$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.23 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 1,997$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.31 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 1,692$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.74 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 45c | 1,512$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.46 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 45c | 1,351$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.95 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 1,351$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.95 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 45c | 1,351$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.95 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 45c | 967$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 511.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 44c | 489.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 45c | 473.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 45c | 441.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 435.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 24c | 400$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 45c | 366.94$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.82 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 329.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 48c | 323.68$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 48c | 234.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 45c | 191.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 57c | 169.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 45c | 140.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 45c | 140.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 45c | 137.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 45c | 127.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 123.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 43c | 123.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 29c | 115.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 114.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…db1abacked Over | 49c | 114.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 98.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 95.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 45c | 93.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 72.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 72.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 33c | 66.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 64.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Under | 72c | 63.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 34c | 57.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 45c | 55.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 42c | 51.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 56c | 49.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 43.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 45c | 42.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 42c | 37.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 45c | 36.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 53c | 33.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 37c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 60c | 28.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 56c | 24.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Under | 44c | 23.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 78c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 60c | 17.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.