Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df8a7b02d2768b231e651ef4ff156c1e503c9f7d5f568c5c50c2fa8218981d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 683.41$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 52c | 281.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 49c | 263.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 208.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 47c | 204.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 200.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 54c | 189.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 166.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 27c | 161.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 20c | 114.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 103.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed Yes | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 48c | 60.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 60.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 45.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 38.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.