Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf7edbc50e41a9ed45042b01dddf0fabb78b14e5e6d390855665ea2c99bd1d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 2,407$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 791.59$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 10c | 500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 57c | 366.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Over | 31c | 353.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 56c | 189.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed Under | 56c | 138.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Over | 45c | 137.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 135.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 40c | 123.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…20f2backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 57c | 91.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 64c | 76.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 59.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 75c | 57.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d9…c8cabacked Over | 32c | 54.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 44c | 34.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 66c | 33.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 45c | 32.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 80c | 29.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.