Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec5922f21d1e7645a00b552a61988968566fb4c4dc47b8af49e54022b862923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,271$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 71c | 1,107$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.08 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 993.94$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 42c | 687.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 681.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.76 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 334.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 65c | 297.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 27c | 274$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 259.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 246.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Over | 45c | 215.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 29c | 193$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked Over | 70c | 179.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 30c | 128.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Over | 73c | 115.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 46c | 106.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 58c | 68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 71c | 53.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 57c | 50.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 29c | 48.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 61c | 32.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…f556backed Over | 72c | 26.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 71c | 24.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 73c | 16.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-2.5)Oxford United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.