TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c10,698$4,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.412,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c6,883$4,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over56c5,839$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.213630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under44c5,258$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.5785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c9…396dbacked Over56c4,949$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over55c4,265$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.665345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under51c3,835$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.775851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over55c2,950$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.2613837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over53c2,779$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.292744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under55c2,428$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.659660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Under44c1,700$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9521040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c1,678$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.7741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Under54c1,646$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.622231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,136$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.1959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under44c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1626444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,071$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.2876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over56c1,011$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.1713348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403250%16 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over54c979.56$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.614138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over56c916.6$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.062948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c891.44$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.61,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c858.15$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.0320054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under44c816.9$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c804.54$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.424,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under44c699.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf288…c377backed Over40c669.02$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over56c668$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c646.19$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.761143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under46c632.38$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.111241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c620.36$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.719724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c579.43$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…c63dbacked Over56c577.8$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under44c565.67$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.772653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c564.62$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under55c530.73$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.832339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over56c521.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.086445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over56c509.75$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.462142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c507.02$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.781,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.556350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under46c483.8$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2517959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c478.46$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6119826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over55c458.87$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3811449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under46c445.1$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3518156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over56c437.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.071942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Over56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.46634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over43c418.37$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3110634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c389.75$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c365.2$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under51c354.05$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over56c350.5$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.287250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.72850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over57c327.65$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.052138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over46c315.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.145648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2310847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under72c301.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11422242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c283.39$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.76451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over55c265.61$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.199957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Under75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.671560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under46c233.49$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.088831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Over57c214.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.76837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Under55c212.29$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.531275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe592…691abacked Under69c208$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.791181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under44c199.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9819145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Under75c177.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ea…9e46backed Over55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.364242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.362347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over56c163.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5235428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4349…0b79backed Over50c155.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Under70c150.03$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.012035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Under52c148.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.521338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over55c147.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.388643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Under48c141.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over51c140.45$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.637254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over56c139.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.895742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9820336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over52c124.24$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.67931.6%25 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under46c106.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.838858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over41c104.18$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c101.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over55c99.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.472665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1221648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over35c96.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6459645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over54c95.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8317327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under46c95.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6921254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c87.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.541,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over47c84.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.988763.2%55 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.