TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under20c99,998$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,998.4613748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Over80c98,738$78,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,608.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x040e…582fbacked Over80c35,911$28,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,728.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c23,312$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,416.595332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c7,120$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.54,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under65c6,170$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.586066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under65c5,409$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.443250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under37c3,006$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.9174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c2,548$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.986,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c2,443$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.6685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under21c2,016$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.263327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Under21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58010236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c1,864$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.192,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under15c1,791$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.219660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over79c1,500$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.6755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,500$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Under11c1,471$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.341250%6 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+169.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over77c1,348$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over79c1,298$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.437358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over32c1,291$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.384540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c1,200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over79c1,181$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.09757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c1,168$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.6815263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Over79c1,125$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.661947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed Under20c1,060$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under50c960.28$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.147143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Under26c954.69$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Under22c953.2$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+221.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over80c934.17$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.334470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over64c930.93$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.0361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under8c915.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.853441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under21c907.15$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6524052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under35c869.26$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over23c798.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.626317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under19c755.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.417327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfc…07b0backed Over80c729.92$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick67cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under22c719.25$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.338259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over70c714.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bda…8da4backed Under21c665.87$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+204.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c658.13$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9257847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288e…84d3backed Under24c645.17$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+322.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Over80c617.5$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over80c612.65$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over65c602.46$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over80c591.97$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.586144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over62c586.32$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.525742.1%24 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Under20c521.45$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.585547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over66c479.32$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.425256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…4973backed Under21c463.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+134.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under70c454.27$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.062755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under21c453.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3215952.8%84 W · 75 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under23c443.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under21c440.01$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c428.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.91,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c424.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.111,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0d…cce6backed Over71c415.18$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.781070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under18c331.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.851741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…db17backed Under21c317.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+112.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under36c299.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5311753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over26c286.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5413721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a3…a2d2backed Under21c272.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+251.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under20c256.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5213554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under37c229.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.171225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over79c217.37$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.723540%14 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under18c211.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.267150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.948949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under16c197$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.934542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over72c196.58$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.585129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over56c194.72$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.041127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x388b…08c9backed Under21c179.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under18c178.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.622218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under21c173.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.246445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over79c164.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.345271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over79c153.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.455459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under51c148.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over71c141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.114555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3228654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under21c135.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.973847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Over74c126.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.371275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd442…f946backed Over79c124.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.73650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.815560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under53c121.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.885139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over54c117.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.979345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…8754backed Under21c116.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92e…d539backed Under18c115.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.91573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x535c…20fdbacked Under38c115.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over54c114.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3341160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under21c113.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3932951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over68c108.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.698445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under22c108.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.498858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.472962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under20c98.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.421850%9 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over63c97.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.659645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.