Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6583c8e10828685f010963eb7bce4b6cf9806b029262767085fb6ce11c44c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 55c | 4,999$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.66 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,145$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.87 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 2,176$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.02 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 1,650$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 40c | 1,206$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 1,011$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.29 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 743.47$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 740.32$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.6 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 646.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.41 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 57c | 334.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 22c | 299.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 61c | 266.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 27c | 258.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 243.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 237.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 42c | 222$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 198.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 40c | 185.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 41c | 148.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 18c | 118.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 113.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 62c | 110.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 96.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 81.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 79.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 79c | 73.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 57c | 51.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…844cbacked Over | 62c | 50.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 57c | 49.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 32c | 47.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 61c | 32.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 41c | 27.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Under | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 71c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.