Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2843abb5b98fc848a312ae6ce3d5ec60f2bb2596d6ef94017a0f390276a0b369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,554$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,783$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 28c | 1,700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 917.73$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.34 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 44c | 658.58$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 553.7$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 502.81$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 411.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 383.06$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 250.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 56c | 248$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed No | 58c | 146.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 44c | 106.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 65c | 78.32$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 57c | 64.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 56c | 59.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 25c | 53.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed No | 75c | 52.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed Yes | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 39.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked No | 58c | 33.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 66c | 29.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 44c | 28.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed No | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 74c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.