Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28da011036ab4b4316bedb3db3cba001e2cd37c144db2ed87419153b69ccdfe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2974…95d6backed Over | 35c | 9,885$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 6,474$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.77 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 1,725$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.36 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 35c | 1,389$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.39 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 1,229$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 65c | 1,195$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.42 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 66c | 1,109$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,019$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 691.99$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 78c | 628$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 67c | 588.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 66c | 444.07$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 424.38$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 33c | 420.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 65c | 319.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 34c | 310.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Under | 67c | 194.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 13c | 151.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Under | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 74c | 143.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 35c | 132.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Under | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 30c | 51.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 34c | 40.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 69c | 36.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…2d23backed Over | 34c | 31.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Under | 67c | 29.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…68d8backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 22.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 68c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 77c | 14.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.