La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe284488bbf6d29324b6f96f05d1ab1c7b84a61a303c2d6f7fdb432fc0a3d9498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 2,502$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.49 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,287$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…bafebacked Yes | 68c | 2,120$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 1,498$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.12 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 65c | 1,239$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.91 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…8320backed Yes | 62c | 826.6$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 37c | 784.44$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 613.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.55 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 606.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 57c | 520.77$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 520.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 59c | 514.83$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 42c | 443.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 417.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 58c | 361.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 343.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 38c | 321.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 41c | 299.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 282.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 48c | 201.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 59c | 198.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…4e92backed Yes | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…20abbacked Yes | 59c | 164.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 60c | 161.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 62c | 158.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 41c | 144.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 58c | 134.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 60c | 132.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 105.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 69c | 100.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 42c | 99.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…b7cabacked Yes | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 52c | 94.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…b813backed Yes | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 92.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed No | 38c | 88.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 59c | 87.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Yes | 50c | 87.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 43c | 80.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed No | 40c | 77.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 64c | 76.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked No | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 62.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 52.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 54c | 51.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 58c | 40.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 49c | 32.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 58c | 31.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…cb26backed Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 60c | 28.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 49c | 27.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 64c | 26.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed No | 48c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 45c | 25.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…4041backed Yes | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 50c | 20.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 60c | 19.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 58c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.