La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d7c3280740b3c24a99316268cc3441eef136d04f32e43240b7f83ed9e4c948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Over | 59c | 9,782$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 41c | 9,530$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.58 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 73c | 8,890$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.21 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 8,678$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.75 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 69c | 6,000$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 5,980$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.38 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under | 29c | 4,766$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…138cbacked Over | 57c | 3,873$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 3,786$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.23 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 68c | 3,179$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.33 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,656$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.06 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 34c | 2,217$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.61 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4778…b5dbbacked Over | 59c | 2,023$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 1,993$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.95 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 1c | 1,912$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Under | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 1,867$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.75 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 42c | 1,785$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 1,576$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.96 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 1,545$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 27c | 1,525$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.18 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 74c | 1,289$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 79c | 1,243$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.07 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 29c | 998.1$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 957.64$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.36 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 33c | 917.79$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 852.27$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 59c | 792.82$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 72c | 680.52$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 633$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.2 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 77c | 627.53$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 596.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 79c | 581.9$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Over | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 45c | 472.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 465.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 40c | 422.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 18c | 422.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 350$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…5c7cbacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Under | 35c | 344.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Over | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…ba76backed Over | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 290.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 26c | 286.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Under | 25c | 275.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Over | 76c | 242$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 216.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 58c | 203.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 57c | 193.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 36c | 186.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 47c | 175.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…0cb1backed Under | 29c | 164.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Under | 45c | 150.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 57c | 146.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 56c | 130.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 67c | 129.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over | 58c | 123.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 77c | 107.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 59c | 103$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 55c | 102.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 78c | 99.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Under | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 94.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 13c | 87.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 56c | 86.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 73c | 84.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 74.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over | 55c | 60.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 72c | 60.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 45c | 59.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…4fdabacked Over | 59c | 58.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.