La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1d5fb87d031983b37a538fe6ee5c04c6933c022fce57623ba1575951094973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof Villarreal CF, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Villarreal CF | 16c | 899.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 539.32$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed RC Celta de Vigo | 50c | 466.36$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 440.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 349.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Villarreal CF | 27c | 334.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 329.7$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Villarreal CF | 26c | 283$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 162.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 157.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Villarreal CF | 23c | 145.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed RC Celta de Vigo | 74c | 144.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 106.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Villarreal CF | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 92.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Villarreal CF | 27c | 71.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Villarreal CF | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…5e17backed RC Celta de Vigo | 35c | 46.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 41.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed RC Celta de Vigo | 74c | 25.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 25.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Villarreal CF | 69c | 25.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Villarreal CF | 66c | 15.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.