TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c24,257$15,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,482.173,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Over40c12,009$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over28c8,715$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.145339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c3,902$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.674,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over34c3,753$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.314250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Over39c3,688$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.273240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c2,208$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.231,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over34c2,123$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over31c1,830$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7210418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under68c1,816$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.611,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over30c1,790$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under60c1,492$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.4192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under47c1,460$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over35c1,091$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.999443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c1,018$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9317530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c989.56$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.31,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under58c978.7$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.053560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over40c937.91$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c893.82$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5361557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over37c639.67$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7212445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under66c510.18$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over40c499.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c494.48$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c485.14$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.563757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x797f…8084backed Under65c474.44$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under59c426.73$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c417.12$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5768050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under74c391.64$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.475366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under65c364.39$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2345250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over37c338.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.088041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under46c323.78$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0111819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over41c317.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.225343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over41c236.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.983237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Under46c222.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over25c221.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3410629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over50c220.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.163852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.592231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.884358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over37c197.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.137031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over39c192.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1411140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under66c166.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9922658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Under67c159.47$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf126…a14dbacked Over36c146.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda4…b658backed Over28c143.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d3…bad4backed Under73c134.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1119344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over35c122.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.916348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…481bbacked Over34c110.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c109.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0644324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over49c105$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.751752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under67c103.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under66c102.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.331,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over20c100.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.48028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c90.28$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2898833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c87.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8175051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c85.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7116865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over61c83.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.361250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over33c74.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7112958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c63.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.714552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under45c63.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under70c62.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.810844.4%48 W · 60 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under72c54.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.345841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over36c53.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2324757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over35c50.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7714140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Under49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over34c46.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b3b…0353backed Under67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Under44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over24c43.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under77c41.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x137c…5430backed Under62c39.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over58c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Over44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under68c33.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.676261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under51c29.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.493751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over57c29.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2315655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…be54backed Over53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under52c25.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under44c25.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under55c24.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9826154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over57c24.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Under62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c23.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2327257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under48c23.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.475133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c21.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed Under75c19.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under68c19.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.287454.1%40 W · 34 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeeac…2970backed Under68c17.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under73c17.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.784057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.