TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No36c24,391$8,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,610.014040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes48c20,028$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,70016537%61 W · 104 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes64c19,995$12,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,796.73036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c521backed Yes23c12,257$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c11,118$7,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.874,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c9,936$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes64c8,840$5,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,657.463357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c6,805$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.882,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No30c3,822$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.425246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No36c3,792$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.1815137.7%57 W · 94 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No38c3,370$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.912653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes72c3,098$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.3810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes65c3,012$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9583250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes70c2,913$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.117557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No31c2,876$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.8413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No36c2,700$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c2,481$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.852,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c2,244$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.781,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes18c1,921$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.811828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c1,888$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No30c1,724$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No31c1,678$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.5115255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No31c1,438$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.2414158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No32c1,190$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.195335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No45c1,087$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.334261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No38c1,013$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.351735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes68c965.26$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.421,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No55c897.46$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.841,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes57c842.99$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5120054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Yes71c830.37$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Yes71c692.35$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5780%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No30c669.9$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.9312549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No36c527.93$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No31c515.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.586262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes69c498.86$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2111232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes30c488.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.553321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No31c479.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No31c479.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.8114459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No30c479$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.312157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf64c…f45ebacked No31c463.84$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…c385backed Yes70c444.48$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No30c431.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7714355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes71c426.76$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30311146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes62c423$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No30c403.06$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3181053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No31c383.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5712757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No29c382.96$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.913855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No36c378.87$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.482268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes51c378.42$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.242941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefca…bf2dbacked No34c339.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes68c310.15$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes50c309.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes65c305.45$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0610338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No37c302.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8977342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes16c300.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.055922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No32c299.93$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9525648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…cbdcbacked Yes30c295.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes69c291.8$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7811727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes48c274.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.762445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No30c254$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.86043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No31c239.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3614658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes21c217.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.722231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c215.49$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2950450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes69c213.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.213847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No31c210$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.917959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No31c208.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8718156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No33c201.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.047247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes49c200.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8312252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes60c199.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.986845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x896e…8902backed Yes69c199.12$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.41741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes46c196.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed No48c194.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No65c184.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed No36c178.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+128.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No31c177.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3716858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes18c158.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5222832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No48c158.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No36c157.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.547259.7%43 W · 29 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No41c156.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4318842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No70c154.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.868052.5%42 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No32c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Yes71c149.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Yes59c149.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4479…c84abacked No31c148.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+157.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No32c148.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.967525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes72c147.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No31c143.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2210860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No29c143.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Yes69c142.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fb…e007backed Yes25c141.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes51c137.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2855955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No31c137.06$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5721056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad99…52d5backed Yes72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes71c136.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes71c136.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes71c136.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6630057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes43c134.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.059446.8%44 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.