Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa715b3fe18fa01e0dc62757966e0fad74723e1e32b9857c8a797920c15b93516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 35c | 4,226$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,644$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 20c | 1,837$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 728.86$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 66c | 698.8$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.98 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 645.99$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.02 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 32c | 608.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 19c | 490.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 20c | 476$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 401.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 73c | 376.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 354.47$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 50c | 289.07$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 19c | 289$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 18c | 259.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.78 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 68c | 215.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…8902backed Yes | 34c | 197.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 27c | 163.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 153.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 41c | 142.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…80c0backed Yes | 75c | 132.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 26c | 131.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 128.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 19c | 126.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 36c | 114.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 20c | 92.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…ae5dbacked Yes | 21c | 85.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 79.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 70.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 62c | 63.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 25c | 57.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 45.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…ea1bbacked Yes | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 39.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 51c | 38.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 48c | 36.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 31.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 29.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed No | 47c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.