Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92dd1f2adc9d9277992fe93b7d7088b230cc42e60a2e238a20e38f8c44923d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 3,044$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 2,041$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,543$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 12c | 599.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 492.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 12c | 489.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 43c | 482.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 103 | 78.6%81 W · 22 L | +22.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 392.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 20c | 332.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 11c | 252.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 54c | 238.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 33c | 208.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 11c | 166.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 160.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 153.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 79c | 147.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 114.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 10c | 113.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Yes | 47c | 97.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 53c | 78.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 49c | 78.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Yes | 18c | 63.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked No | 45c | 60.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 18c | 58.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Yes | 47c | 55.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 29.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 25.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.