Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec031cf5e807956f0628495363e96702f532428625da16c8a0e7c5c3167fe86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 49c | 42,110$20,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,624.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 58c | 13,959$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,862.83 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 12,215$6,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 11,427$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 42c | 10,218$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.37 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Over | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 57c | 5,591$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 51c | 5,223$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…c96dbacked Over | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 3,635$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.75 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…5ba1backed Under | 61c | 1,690$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…0ff7backed Under | 51c | 1,689$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 4c | 1,666$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 63c | 1,498$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 43c | 1,464$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.57 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 33c | 1,417$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.74 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 71c | 1,377$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 58c | 1,331$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.12 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd10backed Under | 51c | 1,084$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 57c | 892.2$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.64 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 888.07$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.49 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 9c | 877$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 61c | 803.57$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.39 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 42c | 789.7$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.57 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 45c | 732.09$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 51c | 727.68$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.44 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 651.55$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over | 48c | 606.76$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 582.83$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 570.19$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.37 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 535$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 31c | 494.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…36cabacked Under | 52c | 471.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 467.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.85 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 394.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.78 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Over | 42c | 357.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 325.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 31c | 311.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 71c | 308.43$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 27c | 299.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 67c | 235.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 29c | 206.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Under | 72c | 203.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 36c | 200.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 46c | 198.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 190.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…ebe2backed Over | 43c | 174.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Under | 62c | 172.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 159.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 40c | 157.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 55c | 156.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 35c | 150.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 62c | 147.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 41c | 147$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…346dbacked Over | 42c | 142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 57c | 136.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 10c | 130.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 58c | 126.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 44c | 124.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 17c | 122.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 32c | 118.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 107.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 61c | 100.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 99.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…48a3backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…d71dbacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed Under | 53c | 98.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 97.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 31c | 93.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.