TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No65c21,114$13,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,294.42,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes28c13,958$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.814337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c3,557$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.551,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes46c2,350$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No46c2,103$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.888354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes28c1,708$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.358334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c1,273$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.1498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c1,243$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes19c1,214$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.521631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…d960backed Yes55c1,003$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No46c998.73$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6330828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes55c888.35$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.597749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c875.92$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes54c868.04$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.743953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes34c847.41$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.122025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da0…13bebacked No46c749.96$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08c…19d2backed Yes53c737.86$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…0aa3backed Yes56c700.99$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b9…db66backed No46c699.97$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes55c612.92$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.673348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f9…feafbacked Yes54c579.19$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7212035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Yes55c534.28$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes55c528.57$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.715935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.11844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes55c447.58$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.17540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes55c442.04$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes38c378.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.963754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes55c355.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.562245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbee1…e141backed Yes55c353.84$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c6…f0abbacked Yes28c341.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Yes11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No47c290.37$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.358651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No45c268.03$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No51c257.13$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes44c250.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No73c247.57$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf853…8088backed Yes55c233.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes54c232.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes55c214.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7331441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No45c205.69$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0224953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.634553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes55c184.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.681346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ce…20abbacked Yes55c175.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed No56c173.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.586850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c169.17$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes36c164.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.12536%9 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes42c150.36$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.45825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes26c149.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d4c…a700backed Yes55c149.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes55c133.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.294339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes55c132.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.986262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No67c123.95$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6413157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes34c112.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e1d…b7cabacked Yes55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1912351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed No46c105.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.82445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes53c102.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.73333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked No73c98.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.516050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…31edbacked No46c97.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850c…5f62backed No47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c96.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No65c95.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.948958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…6710backed Yes55c95.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c89.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3919042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46c…54f1backed Yes55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Yes54c88.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4705…fd08backed Yes55c86.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.73540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes55c84.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.72445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No45c84.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.32857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed No46c84.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No53c82.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.575168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No56c82.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.227556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed No47c77.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.052352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Yes54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No45c67.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.056851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes54c64.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.927252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes50c60.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0716526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes56c59.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.511547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes54c54.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.417646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes41c53.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes55c52.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Yes49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Yes44c48.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked No59c47.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked No45c44.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Yes54c43.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.366550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…67b4backed Yes55c42.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f57…770ebacked Yes55c39.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.452356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.