TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc482…b505backed Under39c19,757$7,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,986.813759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c16,116$12,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.482,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c8,072$5,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,004.5432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over42c4,215$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.843450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under49c1,953$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c1,908$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.491,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c1,742$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.5741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under42c1,351$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.741353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c1,225$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.0649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under27c999.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.994443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over48c804.68$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over72c799.27$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.482176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over67c729.52$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.163250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under28c635.59$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over29c585.95$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.22837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over23c545.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.395219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over28c443.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Over21c440.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.521127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over73c404.3$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.144365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over54c358.82$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over73c336.92$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.959054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over47c331.66$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.492536%9 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c316.6$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over56c312.94$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.258957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over4c282.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3130828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041250%6 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59b2…8297backed Over31c278.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over20c226.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.782050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x497a…883fbacked Under52c224.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over26c208.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1650%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over74c200.28$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.631353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over61c160.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.651250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Over29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over62c149.41$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6326747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.743625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.382650%13 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under27c126.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8915354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under29c114.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.452552%13 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under51c112.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf293…ba11backed Over73c107.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c105.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5718125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over27c102.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.74339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c94.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5815238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over48c85.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.086063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over72c73.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.112161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over26c73.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1114351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over67c72.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.026357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c69.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c97…f237backed Over72c69.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1305…6f56backed Over73c67.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under29c66.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.884472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xabb7…9241backed Under77c65.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under26c62.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under68c61.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.853243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.123119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under60c58.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3217354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under60c58.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over72c56.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.918360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over37c51.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.08955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over59c49.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.266155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.524450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under29c47.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9911255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.294551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Over73c44.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over58c43.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c43.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Over72c40.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c39.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…dd05backed Over60c38.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under59c34.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3312350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.517365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over58c32.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.638958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over41c30.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed Over50c29.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc252…0aebbacked Over72c28.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.651668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Over59c28.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over69c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.632552%13 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Over73c26.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick73cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over73c26.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.688965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Over72c26.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under75c26.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc33…729cbacked Over43c26.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b9…3afcbacked Over66c25.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under80c23.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Over59c21.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.472254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under80c20.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.057163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over73c20.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.762352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102020%4 W · 16 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Over74c19.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.77650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.