TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef27…381bbacked Under55c26,327$14,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,727.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under55c18,990$10,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,570.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under53c15,301$8,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,196.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Under56c14,142$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.794254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c11,825$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c10,370$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over45c10,114$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.415752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c7,423$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.3532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c7,324$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.4898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ce…979fbacked Over46c6,051$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.991060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over45c5,542$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.81520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2503354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under70c4,910$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4733259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over45c4,298$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over48c3,834$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.618354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under54c3,697$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.8310650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c3,030$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.0218923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,950$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.4868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under55c2,908$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.635052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over14c2,525$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3930828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc3…ff02backed Over45c2,440$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Over46c2,412$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c2,273$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.7540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8723…67c9backed Under54c2,174$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Over46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c1,934$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.424351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over46c1,845$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Under53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over44c1,704$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.746659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over47c1,684$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c1,464$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.613953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over47c1,452$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.581560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over45c1,428$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over16c1,424$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.93013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db7…d20ebacked Over44c1,370$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under56c1,309$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c1,292$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c1,271$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.9527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c1,262$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.569054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over20c1,234$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.54520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad7…4d85backed Over47c1,147$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5525…9ab2backed Over47c1,117$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…e2bbbacked Over47c1,089$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe458…7abebacked Under53c1,012$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b8c…01f2backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca8…e6ecbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over40c988.1$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.244932.7%16 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over46c986.95$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4547749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over45c971.69$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7212351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c901.77$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c847.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.752060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over6c845.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7311127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Over46c721.49$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.891457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over35c717.72$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under50c702.19$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.624845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under55c683.76$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.696142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b7…d026backed Over28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3a…5f16backed Under56c673.76$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under55c621.9$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.322751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under55c619.18$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over45c596.44$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.412657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over46c566.77$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.716357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over46c527.55$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.674623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c515$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0511348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under65c507.26$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.643756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under55c486.5$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.925358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under55c467.04$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2814159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Under67c439.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.226850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over22c423$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0623345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208e…df19backed Over46c418.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over45c378.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.191464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+73.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under67c357.59$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9841144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under55c356.83$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over47c309$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.231346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Under55c276.97$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over46c275.56$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6c…2acbbacked Under55c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under60c259.52$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c255.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.718125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over46c254.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.255642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Under70c245.5$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over45c221.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over50c220.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.162951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6417354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.647846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over47c214.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.762157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+50%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.