TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Torino FCof FC Internazionale Milano, Torino FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Torino FC50c9,359$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,640.642,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed FC Internazionale Milano46c5,309$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.34850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked FC Internazionale Milano65c3,035$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db7…d20ebacked Torino FC54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed FC Internazionale Milano34c2,295$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.263053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed FC Internazionale Milano42c1,903$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.131618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Torino FC54c1,801$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FC Internazionale Milano35c1,618$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Torino FC50c1,330$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.121,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FC Internazionale Milano1c1,302$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.013638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked FC Internazionale Milano47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked FC Internazionale Milano45c999$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.551717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed FC Internazionale Milano44c750$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3293040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Torino FC53c659.94$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Torino FC55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2258360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Torino FC55c460$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2077358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Torino FC54c412.88$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.936659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed FC Internazionale Milano47c409.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.683040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed FC Internazionale Milano38c398.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.616535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Torino FC54c376.32$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.116567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1de…2898backed Torino FC58c369.75$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Torino FC55c340.44$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.26861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed FC Internazionale Milano58c336.81$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed FC Internazionale Milano45c303$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.354443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Torino FC60c302.3$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Torino FC65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed FC Internazionale Milano47c299.89$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed FC Internazionale Milano51c298.79$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.383033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Torino FC67c294.53$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5614159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…2632backed Torino FC55c254.57$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed FC Internazionale Milano42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5239740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1f…1b83backed FC Internazionale Milano44c227.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Torino FC54c222.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8327453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed FC Internazionale Milano47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.823537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked FC Internazionale Milano47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Torino FC54c204.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0630828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed FC Internazionale Milano48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed FC Internazionale Milano46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.023154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed FC Internazionale Milano50c192.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Torino FC52c186.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Torino FC54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Torino FC54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.835554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Torino FC54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.823353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Torino FC55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.616262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Torino FC66c173.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9217354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Torino FC58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.593754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked FC Internazionale Milano40c163.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.59875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+102%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Torino FC54c159.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.585642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked FC Internazionale Milano46c155.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Torino FC64c153.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked FC Internazionale Milano37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Internazionale Milano51c136.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Torino FC58c134.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed FC Internazionale Milano56c117.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2dd…554cbacked FC Internazionale Milano56c99.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed FC Internazionale Milano46c98.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.481764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Torino FC67c96.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.417846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked FC Internazionale Milano38c91.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.683630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked FC Internazionale Milano46c83.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Torino FC61c80.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3613157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked FC Internazionale Milano45c77.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.092763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Torino FC45c77.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3620452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked FC Internazionale Milano45c75.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.447042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Torino FC27c73.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2616219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Torino FC67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.144148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Torino FC54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1326744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Torino FC55c68.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8912351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Torino FC60c66.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…6edabacked Torino FC46c63.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed FC Internazionale Milano46c62.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed FC Internazionale Milano53c61.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.571030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed FC Internazionale Milano58c59.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Torino FC57c58.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.318958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Torino FC45c58.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…0a9fbacked FC Internazionale Milano47c57.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed FC Internazionale Milano45c55.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.397556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Torino FC62c54.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.791675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked FC Internazionale Milano56c51.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Torino FC45c48.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5914845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked FC Internazionale Milano46c47.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.867252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Torino FC66c45.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3913653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed FC Internazionale Milano44c42.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…70c8backed FC Internazionale Milano46c41.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed FC Internazionale Milano47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3612946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked FC Internazionale Milano46c35.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.373237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Torino FC56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked FC Internazionale Milano56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.477262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7d…9e7abacked FC Internazionale Milano58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked FC Internazionale Milano45c32.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked FC Internazionale Milano47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked FC Internazionale Milano47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…875abacked Torino FC63c29.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked FC Internazionale Milano47c29.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed FC Internazionale Milano43c27.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.593641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Torino FC53c26.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.615054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Torino FC51c26.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked FC Internazionale Milano47c26.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.282646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Torino FC56c24.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Torino FC59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.171154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed FC Internazionale Milano52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.