Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9abb210fbf864be459728167ec286947c263a58c3f10024e248c579f591303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 37c | 22,889$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,468.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 14,354$9,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,311.1 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 11,052$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Under | 61c | 6,210$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 19c | 4,725$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.79 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 37c | 3,728$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.64 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 21c | 2,594$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.49 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 64c | 2,343$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 1,836$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.66 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 31c | 1,079$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 20c | 961.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 38c | 728.01$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 79c | 703.09$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 30c | 699.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 18c | 675.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 38c | 635.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Under | 58c | 501.67$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 495.47$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Over | 50c | 429.13$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 18c | 396.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…679cbacked Over | 36c | 384.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Over | 45c | 327.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 45c | 273.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 17c | 261.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Under | 66c | 251.9$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 241.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 68c | 215.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 46c | 210.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 47c | 206.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 185.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 182.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Under | 58c | 169.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 28c | 168.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…3176backed Under | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 127.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 40c | 96.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Over | 31c | 94.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 85.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 66c | 81.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 61c | 80.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 79.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 77.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 36c | 74.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 68c | 72.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 32c | 59.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 37c | 58.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Over | 49c | 53.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…e9eabacked Over | 31c | 47.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Under | 63c | 46.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 50c | 45.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…4caabacked Under | 72c | 40.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 63c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 58c | 37.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 56c | 36.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 38c | 31.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 69c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 76c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.