Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32e3c2c728dbdded67c288e1bf2b3e896abe4c5fe80a2ea47566fd66f99e396a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 3,515$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 922.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 25c | 589.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 77c | 582.03$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 548.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 72c | 410.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 74c | 396.42$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Under | 12c | 387.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 360.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 18c | 258.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 80c | 162.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 26c | 100.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 22c | 91.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 75c | 86.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 71cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 77c | 83.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 24c | 81.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 17c | 69.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 72c | 68.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 63.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 59.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 22c | 59.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Over | 76c | 53.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 49.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 77c | 49.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…ee70backed Over | 77c | 47.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 73c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…dd3fbacked Over | 74c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.