Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a50a53d20b2e705832cc0ca6a64a0f5895c12dc8660bdc49c19fc252983cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torino FCof FC Internazionale Milano, Torino FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Torino FC | 75c | 1,109$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Internazionale Milano | 25c | 930.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Internazionale Milano | 23c | 232.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Torino FC | 76c | 159.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed FC Internazionale Milano | 41c | 108.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…fe55backed FC Internazionale Milano | 24c | 95.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 37c | 58.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…b499backed Torino FC | 79c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Torino FC | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Torino FC | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Torino FC | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)this page
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.