Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb504b972fdfc509b95105bf7b2d919191f06fa19f487a953297b3d21ccf0cef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 14,869$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.34 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 44c | 14,825$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 9,090$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.83 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 52c | 7,808$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 48c | 6,776$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 57c | 6,057$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 5,988$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.03 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 55c | 5,307$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 56c | 4,761$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 40c | 4,020$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 23c | 2,545$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.9 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 2,518$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.18 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 57c | 2,436$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.27 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 2,080$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.47 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 58c | 1,922$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.2 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 60c | 1,626$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.81 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 1,421$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,377$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.52 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 44c | 1,321$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,176$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.04 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 60c | 1,171$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.24 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 1,085$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.18 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 46c | 999.78$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 938.61$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.66 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 66c | 929.01$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Yes | 55c | 884.73$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ad…9d1abacked Yes | 55c | 845.14$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 51c | 756.34$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.01 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 33c | 737.31$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes | 53c | 611.04$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 590.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked No | 52c | 548.49$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 56c | 546.19$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 531.84$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 519.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.86 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 504.66$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 44c | 485.4$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 436.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 45c | 400.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa63…90bbbacked Yes | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 55c | 363.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 55c | 353.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 55c | 353.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 55c | 353.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 55c | 353.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 57c | 338.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Yes | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 45c | 319.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 68c | 319.78$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 309.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 44c | 299.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 55c | 295.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed No | 26c | 294$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 48c | 287.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…439ebacked Yes | 57c | 286.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 281.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…0975backed No | 35c | 280$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 53c | 271.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 270.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 46c | 246.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 32c | 244.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 43c | 231.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…af78backed Yes | 57c | 222.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 58c | 202.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Yes | 58c | 201.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 56c | 200.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 68c | 196.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 195.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked No | 16c | 195.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 44c | 189.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Yes | 55c | 176.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 55c | 176.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 49c | 171.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 71c | 165.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…97e1backed Yes | 52c | 156.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 55c | 143.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.