South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c3af17f8a0b2229cab68631bdae4baba0e1286b5a8355fa8b5365bf8561243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 75c | 6,568$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 59c | 4,153$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.51 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 54c | 2,944$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…a7ebbacked Under | 53c | 2,874$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,604$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 1,320$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 1,282$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 41c | 900$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 61c | 799.48$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 28c | 755.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 39c | 723.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 617.32$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 593.39$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 64c | 389.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 245.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 218.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 147.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 31c | 145.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 44c | 119.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 76c | 117.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 40c | 110.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 102.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Over | 68c | 91.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 89.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 36c | 85.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 51c | 74.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 70.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 65c | 67.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 59.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 37c | 51.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Under | 41c | 41.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 48c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 50c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 52c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Under | 41c | 31.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 51c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 25.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 44c | 23.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 54c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3134backed Over | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…f079backed Under | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.