TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes11c288,507$32,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,546.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes32c3,114$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.64825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes11c2,856$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.143831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c2,341$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.655,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No58c1,961$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.6518352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes28c1,946$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6419144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a35…4835backed Yes10c1,819$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.23520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+400%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes8c1,446$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7215945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes5c1,339$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.955113.7%7 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes42c1,184$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.16735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes42c1,063$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad4…a675backed Yes30c999.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No58c962.68$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3311059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes11c932.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.531020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes12c907.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.893312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes20c755.61$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.312634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes16c699.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes11c605.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Yes22c574.65$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No58c499.96$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes42c440.71$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.11,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Yes12c436.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c407.97$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.723,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1689428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes9c373.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.125625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad06…81e1backed Yes42c344.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No59c332.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840e…b9edbacked Yes9c302.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12623551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f7…1b73backed Yes8c295.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes44c291.06$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c281.9$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0412541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Yes10c273.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.392751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No70c249.13$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9857157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes10c247.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c247.05$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.061,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes36c234.94$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.893250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcf…a152backed Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes43c228.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes16c218.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No69c217.19$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.371,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c215.51$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6728851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4d…c6a6backed Yes42c206.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes42c193.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0817251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes42c176.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.321931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes14c171.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4644843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec18…6016backed No59c168.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…2bc1backed Yes35c163.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No57c160.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.349752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes9c160.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes42c159.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes15c152.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes42c137.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.054344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…b27cbacked Yes36c133.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes42c131.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1710846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c122.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.591,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes10c118.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes42c114.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2424253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No77c114.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8219356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Yes10c109.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.242245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes11c106.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c104.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.982,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c101.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes14c101.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.235438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes44c99.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes42c98.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.540242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…f919backed Yes12c94.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No58c93.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.261,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…74e4backed Yes42c91.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d5…7076backed No57c85.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.054100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+136.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed Yes35c84.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes43c78.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.83135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d9a…0689backed Yes42c78.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No59c73.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9816453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53df…ab7abacked No60c71.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes42c68.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes42c68.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.963145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…1b08backed No59c67.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ac…2bb3backed Yes43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No62c62.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.847460.8%45 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c58.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes31c58.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.921,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes40c56.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6624654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No68c53.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8525864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No66c49.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0428651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes30c48.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.642623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-59%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…a103backed Yes42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No78c44.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5419955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7108…32d4backed Yes36c43.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf229…8583backed Yes42c43.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes42c43.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c96…5099backed Yes35c41.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…9bc0backed No57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes45c36.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes42c34.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes42c34.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6341256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.