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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No40c65,661$26,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,503.3929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes61c24,017$14,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,404.328050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c10,548$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.685,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c8,434$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.843,44651.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L+21.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes59c7,294$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.032,59839.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L-26.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes60c6,715$4,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.8343162.2%268 W · 163 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes59c5,569$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c5,532$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.642,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No41c4,823$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.432548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56025055.2%138 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c3,948$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.0816647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No39c3,437$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.5610846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Yes59c3,306$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes59c3,305$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes59c2,521$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.193240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No42c2,298$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes59c2,124$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes47c2,060$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.82657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No40c1,842$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.633171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No39c1,750$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c1,708$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.741,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58524353.9%131 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes59c1,020$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.411,50245.9%690 W · 812 L-18.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes60c1,014$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes59c975.4$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes60c890.7$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2745452.9%240 W · 214 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes33c872.55$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.616827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes60c808.24$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.129562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c755.86$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.648,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes61c752.02$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.791,25753.6%674 W · 583 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes38c638.49$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes61c594.21$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.371,30553.6%700 W · 605 L+5.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yes59c573.54$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19518358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19529051.7%150 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19523256.5%131 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.354450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c480.82$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.61,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes60c459.93$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.7141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No39c450$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.525457.1%145 W · 109 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c408.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3510710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9113351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15621558.6%126 W · 89 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes52c397.88$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1818452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes47c383.34$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.53,80738.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L-29.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes62c374.78$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4114945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c366.22$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.241,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes60c351.53$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7347758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes36c347.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1138939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.564746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes30c327.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.121164.5%136 W · 75 L+23.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x62ed…f691backed Yes62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c311.09$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0727133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes59c308.48$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5122853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes32c298.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+211%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes56c288.18$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8520364.5%131 W · 72 L+20.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c287.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.621,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes60c274.61$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5881356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c268.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.821,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes59c253.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.521757.6%125 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.520460.3%123 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.672532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No46c244.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.628651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes59c215.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.387748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c207.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.711,55745.1%702 W · 855 L+19.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes46c204.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.236048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.958146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3382834.5%286 W · 542 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes60c185.36$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Yes59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-53.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.782751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.522158.4%129 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.515759.9%94 W · 63 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No38c146.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5321345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes61c139.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9216262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No27c137.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1817043.5%74 W · 96 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c1e…1719backed Yes59c131.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c128.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0213545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Yes59c124.29$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes46c123.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3487521.3%186 W · 689 L-83.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked No15c120.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes49c119.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.261926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes59c115$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1517560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Yes59c113.18$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.945862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c112.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Yes40c106.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.691560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes31c103$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2445046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes59c100.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7310652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No17c100.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7424045%108 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924356.8%138 W · 105 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0756…afecbacked Yes40c96.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes62c94.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.943652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.