South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf11bfaa30d9da174b2d93d1958ada157da7617db9b68f67f713357bb6ac877ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 33c | 5,746$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.35 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 18c | 2,117$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 77c | 1,174$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes | 38c | 999.29$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 64c | 841.44$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 14c | 469.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 412.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 379.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 14c | 340.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 21c | 290.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 10c | 198.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 38c | 190.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…0b75backed Yes | 38c | 152.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed Yes | 14c | 137.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes | 16c | 114.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 16c | 97.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8a78backed Yes | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 37c | 93.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Yes | 15c | 92.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…1fe3backed Yes | 15c | 91.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 25c | 87.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 14c | 86.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 13c | 79.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 18c | 72.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 26c | 67.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Yes | 27c | 39.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…de4abacked No | 68c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 39c | 28.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.