South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x308977955fe52476cdebabd8064ea8ce151402c8eb3b43abaf0fdcf225f29a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 68c | 3,291$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.12 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 3,157$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 1,635$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 69c | 1,565$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,077$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 885.51$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.81 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed No | 75c | 803.7$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 46c | 535.61$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c42…f48cbacked No | 75c | 495.46$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +128%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 10c | 422.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 420.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 76c | 333.93$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 279.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 274.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 271.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 75c | 247.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 26c | 242.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 219.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 208.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 74c | 206.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 205.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 76c | 194.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 178.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 19c | 174.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 156$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed Yes | 25c | 128.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…6228backed Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 89.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 78.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 75c | 73.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 30c | 70.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 24c | 60.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 55c | 52.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 57c | 49.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…d652backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 49c | 49.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 52c | 48.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 46c | 43.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 42.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b18…c32fbacked Yes | 53c | 32.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 32.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 54c | 32.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 34c | 31.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 34c | 31.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 60c | 31.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 59c | 23.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.