South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63dc45f9b9c5527ae843a353b3e26d67c5cb45f81ffad1e9cba8e0e0522c9323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 6,487$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.79 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 65c | 1,255$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.74 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 68c | 486.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 411.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 72c | 399.8$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 44c | 385.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 355.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 32c | 299.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed Yes | 8c | 295.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 260.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 216.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…775abacked Yes | 31c | 201$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 158.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 120.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…469fbacked No | 74c | 99.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 71c | 99.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…6edabacked Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 60c | 86.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 86.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 79.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 72.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 71c | 68.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 29c | 68.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 32c | 63.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 54c | 61.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 73c | 51.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1579backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 28c | 44.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 43.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 35.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 27.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 56c | 27.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 71c | 23.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 70c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 72c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-23?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.