South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a0aab29657d86ba066db94344c04c0a0c0a2844bf5fd0af24d49f12e0061558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 1,126$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.54 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 7c | 1,060$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 834.44$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 634$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 463.38$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 442.41$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 298.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 232.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 210.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…469fbacked No | 68c | 198.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…5fe1backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 171.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Yes | 32c | 150.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -81%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 144.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 138.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 86.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 82.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 19c | 80.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 68c | 71.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 60.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…6710backed No | 68c | 59.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 55.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 54.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed No | 69c | 47.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed No | 69c | 47.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 70c | 46.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70aa…ac9dbacked Yes | 36c | 36.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…57ebbacked Yes | 35c | 33.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 72c | 28.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-23?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.