NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e469fbdb36319ed9d74b4203e87206cdec1149517f8a33c80b1744e63cc1f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 55c | 82,182$44,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,188.66 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43,933$20,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,209.26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 55c | 39,869$21,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,941.11 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 46c | 31,748$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,549.76 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 30,324$13,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,643.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 29,430$13,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,243.69 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Timberwolves | 45c | 24,175$10,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,878.75 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Nuggets | 54c | 18,765$10,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,631.81 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 48c | 15,164$7,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,278.76 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,888$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.37 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 9,717$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.85 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 8,895$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.11 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Nuggets | 53c | 7,820$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675.51 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 55c | 5,911$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.76 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,299$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.62 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 4,739$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.33 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,922$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.63 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,780$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.4 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,685$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.28 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 3,674$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.31 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 3,295$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.93 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,266$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.77 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,887$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,548$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.36 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,454$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.99 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,376$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.94 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,360$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.93 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.06 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4a…f216backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,049$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 2,027$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.28 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,960$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,945$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,936$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.25 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…8fdcbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,836$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,780$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nuggets | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,639$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,415$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,381$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.34 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,359$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.18 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,307$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.54 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…9990backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,191$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.85 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Timberwolves | 31c | 1,186$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,111$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.33 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 998.36$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nuggets | 52c | 953.21$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.44 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Nuggets | 52c | 919.26$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.24 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Nuggets | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Nuggets | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 681.06$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.29 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 50c | 680.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.51 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Nuggets | 53c | 641.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Nuggets | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 576.54$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Nuggets | 52c | 525.21$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Timberwolves | 7c | 503.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…a75fbacked Nuggets | 60c | 503$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…bc09backed Nuggets | 79c | 498.22$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Nuggets | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 483.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 469.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Nuggets | 53c | 459.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nuggets | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 55c | 446.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Timberwolves | 48c | 405.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Nuggets | 48c | 399.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 390.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Nuggets | 54c | 388.96$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Nuggets | 52c | 370.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Nuggets | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Nuggets | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Nuggets | 55c | 353.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Nuggets | 68c | 336.04$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 333.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Timberwolves | 48c | 314.48$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Timberwolves | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 299.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Timberwolves | 46c | 295.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Nuggets | 54c | 291.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 290.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 257.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Timberwolves | 46c | 252.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuggets | 53c | 210.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Timberwolves | 53c | 202.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Nuggets | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Nuggets | 53c | 194.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Timberwolves | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Nuggets | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Nuggets | 52c | 178.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.