NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2b9a6278989246ab12d0464c273b0fa4fd898ea7c9a73ed43e8941dc3e262a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x207a…5b9cbacked Under | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Over | 52c | 12,887$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 12,726$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 39c | 10,685$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.9 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 10,387$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.18 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 6,880$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.09 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 6,374$3,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 6,303$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.79 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.95 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 4,676$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 4,434$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 3,683$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.91 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 69c | 3,574$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.95 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…296dbacked Under | 63c | 3,101$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 52c | 3,095$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.76 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 52c | 2,904$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.05 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…40b9backed Under | 49c | 2,572$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,567$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.05 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 1,679$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.33 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 55c | 1,415$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.87 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 49c | 1,377$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.51 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 1,324$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.87 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 46c | 1,258$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.64 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 47c | 1,253$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.22 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 52c | 1,120$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 59c | 1,046$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.87 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 41c | 1,033$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.13 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…8184backed Over | 73c | 1,032$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 35c | 999.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…441ebacked Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 51c | 965.89$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 47c | 908.46$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.48 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 851.42$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.19 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 777.44$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.4 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 755.16$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.75 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 55c | 737.71$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.97 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 705$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 638.79$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 608.57$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 49c | 507.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 484.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 471.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 44c | 455.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 53c | 409.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Under | 63c | 404.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 354.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Over | 60c | 344.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 339.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Under | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 49c | 320.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 312.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 282.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 33c | 270.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 269.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Under | 55c | 264$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 250.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 54c | 234.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 44c | 222.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 220.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…f5aebacked Under | 46c | 210.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 64c | 208.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 48c | 201.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…8380backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d95…82e8backed Over | 52c | 170.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 37c | 170.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Under | 56c | 168.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 59c | 165.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 161.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 47c | 159.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…5673backed Under | 37c | 151.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 52c | 150.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 35c | 148.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 146.51$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 138.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 43c | 137.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Under | 73c | 135.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 73c | 134.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Under | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…aa62backed Under | 41c | 129.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.