NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdcdc5f4dbc0d4121f37fb3b134453ec6c4dc3378c3a5f736b1246b14e7fe759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 12,573$6,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.72 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 7,897$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.73 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 4,131$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…76e2backed Under | 51c | 3,427$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Under | 37c | 2,720$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 63c | 2,060$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.28 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 1,858$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.01 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 42c | 1,409$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.75 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.03 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 58c | 1,008$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Under | 53c | 968.32$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 43c | 847.87$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 23c | 796.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 54c | 790.53$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.64 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 52c | 722.17$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.64 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 57c | 705.31$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 703.42$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.9 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 678.01$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 664.38$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.25 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 26c | 645.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 56c | 532.16$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 50c | 434.8$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 412.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 359.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 58c | 356.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Under | 52c | 316.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Over | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 58c | 292.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 52c | 275.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over | 54c | 268.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Over | 77c | 246.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 58c | 246.08$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 33c | 218.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 45c | 205.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Under | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 51c | 195.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 194.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 53c | 189.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Under | 63c | 187.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 177 | 42.4%75 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 60c | 163.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…df8abacked Under | 57c | 147.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Under | 68c | 144.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 63c | 129.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 50c | 128.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Under | 53c | 125.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 50c | 114.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 44c | 114.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 103.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…308ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 63c | 99.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 65c | 98.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 93.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 83.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…c26abacked Over | 60c | 81.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 43c | 80.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Under | 44c | 76.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 63c | 71.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Under | 46c | 71.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 62c | 65.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Under | 44c | 65.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 62.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Over | 79c | 62.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 63c | 62.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 65c | 55.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 80c | 54.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 61c | 52.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 78c | 50.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Over | 58c | 50.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…3924backed Over | 70c | 49.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 43c | 44.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 43.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 63c | 40.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 54c | 39.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed Under | 46c | 38.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…e918backed Under | 52c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Under | 67c | 32.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…c12dbacked Under | 52c | 31.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 58c | 30.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Under | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…f675backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…1eeebacked Over | 58c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…b820backed Over | 58c | 24.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.