NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8c930d1d882a7c0e80852535badf1fe1bf831de3f4b3606c109bc556b5e927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,784,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,375,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,784,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Timberwolves | 19c | 580,393$110,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,274.67 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 20c | 323,601$63,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,259.14 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Nuggets | 80c | 317,653$254,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,530.7 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 18c | 247,374$44,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,527.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Timberwolves | 20c | 233,634$46,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,726.77 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 215,173$40,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,882.93 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 17c | 210,654$35,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,657.03 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Timberwolves | 0c | 200,071$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.8 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Timberwolves | 19c | 139,349$26,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,329.12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves | 19c | 125,134$23,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,775.48 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Timberwolves | 20c | 119,952$23,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,990.4 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 19c | 111,289$21,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,144.94 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Nuggets | 79c | 105,128$83,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,638.85 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Nuggets | 80c | 70,169$56,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,033.84 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Timberwolves | 20c | 69,999$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.74 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 0c | 57,258$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 1c | 55,035$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.53 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves | 0c | 54,363$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 47,951$10,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,677.49 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 43,178$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.75 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Timberwolves | 24c | 39,492$9,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,545.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 11c | 38,302$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…8787backed Timberwolves | 20c | 31,416$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 80c | 31,287$25,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.36 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.91 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 17c | 28,916$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.44 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…aa9bbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 28,063$5,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,051.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuggets | 76c | 27,714$20,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.16 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…87c5backed Timberwolves | 18c | 27,306$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…7839backed Timberwolves | 18c | 26,434$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Timberwolves | 19c | 24,751$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Timberwolves | 20c | 23,800$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 1c | 22,270$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7998…0db9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 20,751$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 2c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Nuggets | 80c | 18,805$15,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.94 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves | 17c | 17,581$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.4 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Timberwolves | 1c | 17,248$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Timberwolves | 12c | 17,202$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.42 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 16,848$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.27 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 0c | 16,307$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 15,925$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.52 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Timberwolves | 1c | 15,735$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Nuggets | 80c | 15,300$12,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Nuggets | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 14,466$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 14,402$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.48 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 17c | 13,392$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.15 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 80c | 13,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 20c | 12,758$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.67 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…a682backed Timberwolves | 19c | 12,518$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Timberwolves | 5c | 12,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 11,983$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.64 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 2c | 11,954$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 11,880$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.37 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Timberwolves | 3c | 11,116$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Timberwolves | 18c | 11,073$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Timberwolves | 21c | 10,442$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Nuggets | 80c | 10,357$8,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.46 | 228 | 57.5%131 W · 97 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves | 17c | 10,231$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.86 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 20c | 10,042$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.01 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Nuggets | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…c292backed Timberwolves | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Timberwolves | 17c | 10,000$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.72 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Nuggets | 80c | 9,880$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 9,854$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Timberwolves | 10c | 9,545$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.44 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Timberwolves | 20c | 9,520$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 0c | 8,541$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 19c | 8,174$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.15 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 8,168$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.98 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Timberwolves | 20c | 8,092$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.4 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Timberwolves | 2c | 7,681$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Timberwolves | 20c | 7,538$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.63 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…b44cbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 7,313$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Timberwolves | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed Nuggets | 80c | 6,727$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 19c | 6,559$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.61 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…c58fbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 6,497$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef3…f69dbacked Timberwolves | 17c | 6,490$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…f694backed Timberwolves | 9c | 6,357$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Nuggets | 80c | 6,025$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.43 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6508backed Timberwolves | 20c | 5,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 5,941$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Timberwolves | 17c | 5,589$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 18c | 5,545$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Timberwolves | 5c | 5,520$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.65 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Timberwolves | 11c | 5,505$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.94 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…6facbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 5,485$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.96 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Timberwolves | 13c | 5,468$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.85 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves | 13c | 5,432$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.13 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves | 12c | 5,430$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.64 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Nuggets | 79c | 5,308$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.7 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 5,279$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.51 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…d2dabacked Nuggets | 80c | 5,200$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…e646backed Timberwolves | 20c | 5,194$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 18c | 5,078$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.14 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.