NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64e3936e277b46061358a80d14d4ddb3772160d3659cb7a61e5e245b1fa5c1b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 49c | 102,963$50,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,402.21 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 47c | 46,234$21,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,919.27 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 50c | 31,457$15,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,728.57 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Under | 49c | 25,204$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Over | 51c | 24,395$12,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,917.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 23,166$11,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,241.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 51c | 17,325$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,489.35 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 50c | 14,550$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,275 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 13,379$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.19 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Over | 55c | 12,919$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.55 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 51c | 12,427$6,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,128.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 52c | 10,507$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.44 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 9,787$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.56 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 9,633$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.74 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…cb55backed Over | 51c | 9,516$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 51c | 8,564$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.42 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 8,482$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.87 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…a7a3backed Over | 51c | 6,865$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 6,698$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.34 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 6,670$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.95 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Under | 41c | 4,647$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 54c | 3,835$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 50c | 3,748$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.04 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 45c | 3,603$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.3 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 3,533$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.39 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 48c | 3,330$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.62 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 48c | 3,158$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.98 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 60c | 3,069$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.89 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,869$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Under | 52c | 2,865$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.72 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 47c | 2,744$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.01 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 47c | 2,609$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.02 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 54c | 2,336$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 2,224$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.54 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 51c | 2,221$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.16 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 50c | 2,059$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.35 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 39c | 2,037$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.1 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 1,806$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.59 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 1,770$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Under | 48c | 1,736$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,619$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.12 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 50c | 1,290$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.22 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 50c | 1,261$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.48 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 50c | 1,247$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.99 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 55c | 1,197$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.86 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 56c | 1,175$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 48c | 1,168$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.35 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 19c | 1,163$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.22 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 1,108$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.87 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 50c | 1,101$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.43 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 49c | 1,095$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.36 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 51c | 1,087$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed Under | 50c | 1,084$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 47c | 1,061$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.67 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 48c | 1,057$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ea2ebacked Under | 48c | 1,014$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.72 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…513dbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 55c | 990$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…8f04backed Under | 24c | 942.62$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Over | 50c | 909$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 55c | 904.35$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.32 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 892.56$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 21c | 890.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 859$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.45 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759e…4d68backed Over | 25c | 836.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 61c | 798.07$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Over | 68c | 760.65$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 50c | 754.08$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.04 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Under | 52c | 700.68$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.19 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 61c | 639.58$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Under | 43c | 623.05$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Over | 54c | 622.44$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.14 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 597.39$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 79c | 596.09$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 44c | 586.32$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Under | 45c | 582.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.78 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 50c | 575.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 567.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.12 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 45c | 553.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Over | 53c | 522.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.75 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Over | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Under | 50c | 518.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 42c | 512.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.1 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under | 51c | 497.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 45c | 494.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.61 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Under | 64c | 487.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 480.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 470.19$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.33 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 48c | 460.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.