TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x089c…8df0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$268.67
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.76
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.16
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.96
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$244.49
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.49
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.1
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$138.32
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$69.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.37
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$274.15
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.86
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+179.7%+$323.08
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+162.7%+$99.08
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+257.1%+$138.86
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+144.2%+$302.77
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,586.35
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$183.44
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$59.83
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$48.53
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$34.67
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$584.04
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.78
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$258
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$314.56
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+142.6%+$341.32
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+202.1%+$30.32
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.28
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$360.33
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$183.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.97
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$82.04
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$235.86
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$430.5
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.79
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.61
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.75
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$132.98
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.31
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.71
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$172.26
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.45
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$221.15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Huskies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$42.57
San Diego Toreros vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132%+$55.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$155.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$80.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.