Tennis · resolved market
Mauthausen: Tomas Barrios vs Sebastian Sorger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e400e8c7e8e79810d80ef86f05802c0a32e4b260e94fb4a810bae8ed4f75ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomas Barriosof Tomas Barrios, Sebastian Sorger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Sorger | 6c | 16,386$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Sebastian Sorger | 5c | 11,569$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.45 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Sorger | 6c | 4,310$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Tomas Barrios | 76c | 3,876$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.37 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sebastian Sorger | 24c | 3,651$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.26 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Sorger | 17c | 2,815$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Sorger | 30c | 2,541$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Sebastian Sorger | 9c | 1,891$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 1,261$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.25 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Sebastian Sorger | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Sorger | 11c | 829.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sebastian Sorger | 12c | 777.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Sorger | 32c | 584.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Sorger | 32c | 556.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.26 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Sebastian Sorger | 25c | 548.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Barrios | 75c | 429.45$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 361.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…507bbacked Tomas Barrios | 55c | 320.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sebastian Sorger | 11c | 315.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sebastian Sorger | 21c | 291.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sebastian Sorger | 36c | 282.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Sebastian Sorger | 18c | 264.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sebastian Sorger | 37c | 257.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tomas Barrios | 65c | 235.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Sebastian Sorger | 13c | 218.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Tomas Barrios | 72c | 190.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Tomas Barrios | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tomas Barrios | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tomas Barrios | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Sebastian Sorger | 20c | 144.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Tomas Barrios | 70c | 134.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sebastian Sorger | 20c | 131.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tomas Barrios | 77c | 130.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Sebastian Sorger | 31c | 122.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Sebastian Sorger | 23c | 106.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Sebastian Sorger | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Tomas Barrios | 68c | 98.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tomas Barrios | 66c | 90.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Sebastian Sorger | 42c | 81.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked Sebastian Sorger | 31c | 80.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tomas Barrios | 60c | 78.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Sebastian Sorger | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sebastian Sorger | 21c | 66.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Tomas Barrios | 79c | 65.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Tomas Barrios | 76c | 64.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 61.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Sebastian Sorger | 31c | 58.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Sebastian Sorger | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sebastian Sorger | 37c | 56.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sebastian Sorger | 24c | 56.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Sebastian Sorger | 48c | 50.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Sebastian Sorger | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sebastian Sorger | 32c | 48.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Sebastian Sorger | 23c | 48.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Tomas Barrios | 75c | 48.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Tomas Barrios | 75c | 42.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sebastian Sorger | 36c | 42.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…4fc1backed Tomas Barrios | 58c | 36.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Sebastian Sorger | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Tomas Barrios | 61c | 30.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tomas Barrios | 76c | 30.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…b4aebacked Tomas Barrios | 61c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Tomas Barrios | 73c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Tomas Barrios | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Sebastian Sorger | 47c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Tomas Barrios | 75c | 24.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Tomas Barrios | 67c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Tomas Barrios | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tomas Barrios | 73c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.