TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Jets, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$655,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$688,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $655,515 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche70c55,119$38,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,767.741,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jets32c51,668$16,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,515.79548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets32c44,126$14,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,056.7188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jets30c30,408$9,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,122.4238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche70c30,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets31c30,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.9825449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche68c24,975$16,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9922,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Jets15c23,852$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,577.532744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Jets31c18,638$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.065749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Avalanche67c16,996$11,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,628.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e0…1f91backed Jets31c16,000$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Avalanche69c16,000$11,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.97850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.971,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jets30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9632946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jets33c13,454$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.7819555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche67c13,200$8,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.1247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Avalanche67c12,912$8,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.9632251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Avalanche70c12,680$8,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Jets18c7,567$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.134247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Avalanche69c7,011$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.392846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jets34c6,570$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.8593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets34c6,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Jets30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.995448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Jets31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9827548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche72c5,906$4,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.3675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…276fbacked Jets27c5,675$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd43…5db2backed Avalanche70c5,500$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Avalanche69c5,456$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.1314848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Avalanche67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Avalanche68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche66c4,522$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.471,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jets30c4,507$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.5154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche68c4,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec32…1634backed Jets30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche68c3,748$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.3251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche67c3,513$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.931,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Jets32c3,414$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.472343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Avalanche70c3,408$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Jets9c3,232$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006833.8%23 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af4…ed6bbacked Avalanche69c3,124$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.441154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Avalanche70c2,868$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.532254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Jets18c2,685$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9513147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Avalanche68c2,631$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.7526955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Avalanche68c2,626$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.3469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Avalanche69c2,601$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.717744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets31c2,589$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.5979350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jets10c2,565$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2738738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Jets31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa806…c0fdbacked Jets30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jets8c2,372$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.826527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c2,333$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Jets31c2,265$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Avalanche69c2,200$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6916855.9%38 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Avalanche69c2,161$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8824349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Avalanche69c2,100$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6511060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets32c2,025$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…d195backed Jets31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Jets31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jets14c1,929$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9729926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa89b…5d63backed Avalanche70c1,908$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…1ed5backed Avalanche71c1,685$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Avalanche69c1,600$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7458…2f77backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090f…60b0backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6f…2b79backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…0e35backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc35…25fcbacked Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…b00abacked Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa1c…a2b2backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8986…8668backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…4161backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…9d0fbacked Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x150d…644fbacked Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad19…3476backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf6…e1c4backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f3…b824backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9a…45e1backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd8…346ebacked Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c35…68b6backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc1…dd27backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe187…d388backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd34a…c21bbacked Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3914…4fb5backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a7c…557ebacked Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5d…7682backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c08…8611backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfb…611dbacked Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775a…99c3backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x893c…4394backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72eb…0d0bbacked Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c5…80cabacked Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+71.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4dd…67a2backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Avalanche70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Avalanche66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51036038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7e…9556backed Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac5c…b4edbacked Jets32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…2673backed Avalanche68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.