NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31761e826f9d745bb3ad2a18a23e1ce5e7b489289b129b817d937fc084e8b82b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Avalanche, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 48c | 11,841$5,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,676.08 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jets | 52c | 7,950$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.8 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jets | 52c | 5,096$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.09 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 54c | 3,827$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.5 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 53c | 2,213$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.97 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 1,882$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.9 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Avalanche | 48c | 1,616$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Avalanche | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 55c | 536.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 45c | 490.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Avalanche | 45c | 415.54$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 54c | 364.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Avalanche | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…ff77backed Avalanche | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Avalanche | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 46c | 151.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…7f2ebacked Jets | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 44c | 127.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Jets | 52c | 113.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Avalanche | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Jets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…0082backed Avalanche | 45c | 78.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Avalanche | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Jets | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Avalanche | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Jets | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Avalanche | 44c | 61.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Jets | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Avalanche | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avalanche | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Avalanche | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Avalanche | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Jets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…6dddbacked Jets | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Avalanche | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Jets | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Avalanche | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Avalanche | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868e…c0f0backed Avalanche | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Jets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Jets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Jets | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Avalanche | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Avalanche | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Avalanche | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Jets | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Jets vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.